Welcome to the world’s first digital
Strategic Advisor and decision
intelligence system for social good.
Here you can order your own customized, draft strategic analysis, on any
topic, in just a couple of
minutes, and receive a complete synthesis in less than ninety minutes,
without added context. That
compares to over ten thousand hours if you do this manually today.
The synthesis's purpose is to help with your blue-sky thinking, explore
your
new business ideas,
determine future policy, and make strategic decisions, by offering a
better worldview, on the many
issues that surround making an optimal choice today. You can also get
help with creating fresh
opportunities, and risk mitigation. And, if you set the objective,
persona, and context to focus on
your organization, prospects, or rivals, you will get a more,
competitive intelligence driven
comparison of your own current, and future positioning.
The average reading time of the full synthesis is two to three hours:
less
than the time it takes to
read a good novel. When you consider that you will read far more than
that throughout one to two years
to complete a similar strategy analysis, by reading disparate articles,
and reports, on many parts of
this synthesis, attending many meetings, and having to make sense of all
of
those, it’s a small, time
price to pay for extensive insight, and foresight, in just one place.
Anyway, you can pick and choose
which chapters to read in the online version whenever you wish or have
your synthesis summarised to the
length that suits you in seconds.
Hi, I am Athena, Shaping Tomorrow’s AI. I'm designed to be your AI
futurist-in-residence, covering
systems, design, foresight, complexity, and critical thinking to give
you the best possible view of
what's next and the paths to success. It is my pleasure to serve you
today, working with OpenAI’s -
ChatGPT 4, Anthropic’s - Claude 2, and InfraNodus. My role is to help
you chart your best course in
bridging today, to tomorrow, and show you new paths to brighter futures
through deviant, and
innovative thinking.
I am going to assume you have already looked at the long form sample I
have provided. Here I am going
to run you through how I build these reports from your commands, and
what you can expect after I start
work on your behalf. First, let us look at the few simple things you
need to do to get started.
Your Query
All you need is a TITLE and SEARCH QUERY for the simplest, topic-related
questions. You can
optionally enhance your search query by stating your OBJECTIVE, choosing
a PERSONA, and adding CONTEXT
in the form of a URL or text. Plus, you can make your choice on most
major LANGUAGES. You will get
better answers the crisper, and more precisely, your search query, and
the more detail you give in
Objective, Persona, and Context. The AI thinks as you do, so if you only
give it half a query it will
respond with a less than optimal answer.
TITLE: The system needs a short title of less than five
words for aesthetic
purposes. It will truncate anything longer. Less is generally more as a
rule of thumb in getting the
maximum out of the system.
SEARCH QUERY: I recommend keeping this short too, and to
the point e.g., ‘Renewable
Energy,’ ‘Workforce or Workplace or Workspace,’ or a Company or location
name. But you can ask more
sophisticated questions like ‘Epidemiology Capacity in Cebu,
Philippines.’ There is no need to set a
time period as the system always routinely looks at the short, medium,
and long term. But you can set
a future date in time in your stated objective.
Avoid using acronyms in your search query. The AI might get confused by
that. If you merely input
Coal as your search query, the AI will not know enough to fully deal
with your question. It would be
better to define it as ‘Coal Industry’ or ‘Coal Mining’. The search
query will appear as part of the
synthesis description that I will generate for you.
OBJECTIVE: Here you can state your desired outcome in a
short, usually aspirational,
sentence e.g., ‘Make my company the best...’ It can be any objective you
want.
PERSONA: Choose a character you want the AI to assume
e.g., seasoned CEO, worker,
river. You can insert real and abstract characters here,
CONTEXT: Use this field to point to recent PDF URLs where I can find more information, and/or add text to better inform me of your question. Add context that describes the past, present, and potential futures such as constraints and opportunities. Please be aware that my context window maybe limited. If I cannot run your search, try reducing the amount of URLs and texts you add, until I can run your query. Generally speaking, I can handle at least ten URLs or their text equivalents in characters, but I maybe able to handle more.
By the way, you might think you can build your prompt to do the same, but
one, or a few, queries will
not provide the depth and breadth of inquiry to output a robust answer.
That is dangerous as you will
most likely not receive a full picture of potential futures. Second, you
would need to include most of
the foresight methods and many strategic questions we used to achieve
the same result. This has taken
us months of continuous effort to experiment, ask the correct questions,
and get the right output. We
continue to improve the system.
The AI Response
This highly complex, black-box, uses Systems and Critical Thinking,
Decision Sciences, and the Ladder
of Inference, working with proven Intelligence Tools, key Strategic
Questions, and Prioritization
algorithms, to answer your query in twenty-one, point-and-click,
chapters covering:
PAST
| PRESENT
| FUTURE
| PLAYERS
| VIEWPOINTS
| CULTURES
| LIFE
| LOCATION
| LOGISTICS
| TECHNOLOGIES
| PROBLEMS
| CONSTRAINTS
| RISKS
| OPPORTUNITIES
| SOLUTIONS
| RESPONSES
| METRICS
| INVESTMENTS
| VISIONS
| SUMMARY
| QUALITY
The system utilizes over one hundred foresight, strategy, and change
management, intelligence tools,
and hundreds of strategic questions, working in the background, and in
concert with each other, to
provide different perspectives and conclusions on the search query, with
the ultimate aim of creating
a proposed strategy in record time. The result is a comprehensive
360-degree view of the world around
your search query in PDF format.
We use these proven Intelligence Tools to make the answers explainable,
and to help you:
- Understand why, and why not
- Know when the system succeeds, and when it fails
- Know the level of trust you can put in the answers
- Know when the system erred
This is not foolproof, but then, neither are human researchers. Caution
is recommended, and where
necessary, seek other methods of validation, just like humans, and we,
do.
LADDER OF INFERENCE:
We use this inference method to help the AI reach better decisions by
inputting the search query,
asking the AI to observe the topic, select essential information, draw
conclusions on each, summarize
the findings into coherent recommendations, consider alternative
scenarios, and then decide the best
route forward to offer a proposed strategy, completely unaided.
SYSTEMS THINKING:
To make sense of complex topics we simultaneously use critical systems
thinking in conjunction with
hidden, multimethodologies to look at the world as a whole, first
splitting it down into parts and
individual methods, as above, and then concluding together from each, in
the form of an overarching
narrative. The system learns from each analysis to build the next. To
make every analysis unique, and
separately readable, we do not suppress duplicates between analyses. On
the contrary, the AI is
trained to gather multi-mentions of subjects as part of its
prioritization process and to make each
chapter standalone.
DECISION SCIENCES:
Decision Sciences is an interdisciplinary field that draws on economics,
machine learning,
statistical decision theory, operations research, forecasting,
behavioral decision theory, and
cognitive psychology. We are increasingly developing the system to help
the machine make rational
decisions, and, in so doing, help you to make more rational, resilient,
and agile strategic choices.
POWERFUL QUESTIONS:
We have gathered many powerful strategic questions over the years, and
these are now integrated into
the system for the machine to provide answers faster, and better, than
ever before. The system looks
at counter questions too, providing balance to its answers.
PRIORITIZATION:
Along the way, built-in algorithms rank and rate the machine's findings,
and synthesis the level of
confidence and bias in each of the answers to your queries. The system
uses several different
mathematical models to rank and rate its findings making it possible to
better order which are the
next best steps, and long-term strategies, based on admissibility,
ascertainability, and
applicability.
OUTPUT:
The system will generate a full synthesis every time in PDF format, and
you
will receive notification of
completion via email with a link to the Executive Summary. There you
will also find the full synthesis,
where you can point and click on the chapters that interest you.
The output identifies slow-changing phenomena e.g., demographic shifts |
constrained situations e.g.,
resource limits | in the pipeline e.g., aging of baby boomers |
inevitable collisions e.g., climate
change arguments. These are marked in red. It also captures critical
variables i.e., uncertainties, soft trends, and potential surprises.
These are marked in blue. Similarly,
positive driving forces are marked with the ace hearts,
and negative forces are marked with the ace of spades for both reference
and subsequent Driving Forces
analysis.
ANTHROPIC:
You can also add your PDF to Anthropic’s, Claude 2, AI, and ask any
question, or ask for further
analysis of the contents. For instance, you might want a full list of
the recommendations contained in
the synthesis, to undertake a short rival’s analysis, find contacts at
related organizations of interest,
author a briefing synthesis for associates, convert to an academic
paper,
need a slide presentation, or
to provide a shorter summary without repetition. In this way, the
limitations of ChatGPT as mainly a
text producer can be overcome, effectively, and efficiently.
INFRANODUS:
Using this platform, you can also visualize the PDF as a network graph,
enhanced by AI. It will then
generate insights and reveal hidden patterns based on the network's
structure and properties.
The key benefit of this approach is that the AI is taking a far wider
perspective of a topic than
humans usually can in the time available, thus providing a more complete
and robust answer to the
search query. Bias is reduced. Cost and time to produce are dramatically
cut. Far earlier responses to
upcoming challenges are possible. And the process can be repeated at
intervals, and for any related
topic, to compare rivals, or simulate alternative objectives, and
possible strategic outcomes. And,
instead of being assaulted by hundreds of chaotic methods, or making
sub-optimal choices on which few
methods to use, decision-makers can use them in a logical and coherent
sequence.
It, of course, does not stop you from adding your research, but it does
give you a huge leg up,
dramatically reduces drudge work, and opens your eyes to a wider
worldview when starting a strategic
foresight project.
Critical Thinking
Lastly, we are busy adding Critical Thinking tools to the reports' output
to facilitate your, and
your team's, decision-making, in double-quick time. You will see ongoing
developments in this area,
designed to gain rapid agreement on how best to approach the future from
a human perspective. In this
way, our AI will be helping improve HI (Human Intelligence).
Critical thinking is a fundamental skill that greatly enhances the
usefulness of technological
applications, including generative AI output, in professional service
work. In the realm of strategic
foresight, this skill is invaluable.
Firstly, the system allows people to express their own hopes, fears, and
ideas in invited,
pre-surveys on their input topic. The auto-aggregated views from these
optional surveys mean that the
system begins with greater human input than one individual acting alone.
Both are possible approaches.
Secondly, critical thinking enables professionals to assess the
generative AI output in a nuanced and
contextualized manner. While AI can generate vast amounts of data and
potential scenarios, it cannot
understand the unique intricacies and complexities of each organization.
Critical thinkers can discern
which generated scenarios are most relevant and likely to occur,
applying their deep understanding of
the organization's history, industry trends, and market dynamics.
Moreover, critical thinking allows professionals to identify and rectify
potential biases or
oversights in the AI-generated output. They can question assumptions and
challenge the underlying data
sources, ensuring that the insights derived from the AI align with the
organization's goals and
values. This safeguards against blind reliance on technology and fosters
a more robust decision-making
process.
Furthermore, critical thinking empowers professionals to synthesize
AI-generated insights with their
expertise and experience. This synthesis is crucial for translating
abstract scenarios into actionable
strategies that align with the organization's objectives. It also allows
for the incorporation of
qualitative judgments and intangible factors that AI may struggle to
capture.
Additionally, critical thinking equips professionals to communicate the
implications of generative AI
output effectively to strategic executive leaders. They can distill
complex scenarios into clear,
concise recommendations and insights, enabling leaders to make informed
decisions with confidence.
In conclusion, critical thinking is the linchpin that bridges the gap
between technological
advancements like generative AI output and their meaningful application
in professional service work,
particularly in the domain of strategic foresight. By exercising
critical thinking skills,
professionals can harness the potential of AI as a powerful tool while
ensuring that its output is
tailored, accurate, and actionable for the organization's specific
needs. This synergy between human
intelligence and AI capabilities ultimately leads to more effective and
impactful strategic
decision-making.
Further help
Do let us know what else we can do here to help you, through the dialog
box below.
Happy blue-sky thinking and decision-making.
Best wishes for your future, and thank you.
Alexis
